i can't argue with the much more experienced folk here ( but i try
), but it seems to me the math backs up the fact that a TL would be right for me until i can get more arm speed.
Really, there a lot of discs you can use for that shot if you know how to throw the shot. I don't think there is a magic disc that will make you better, it's still up to you to make the shot.
I know a lot of people (myself included) that don't really know how to throw. I know the discs in my bag and know pretty much how they are going to behave when I throw them, but I don't really understand what I'm doing to the disc to get that result. When I get a new disc, it's a whole new learning process of understanding what that disc is going to do. As a result I depend a lot on the disc to do the work for me and do stupid things like jump in a lake after an XL that I'm not exactly sure how I would play without because it's far in away the best turnover driver I have.
A really good player can take fairly neutral stable discs and execute any shot he needs with them. Back before all the high-speed drivers came out, I saw Ron Russell play an event with a Magnet, a Comet and a Cyclone. He made all the shots and won the event. That's what the guys who can really throw can do...take one disc and throw it dead straight, hyzer and anyzer and execute the shots. It didn't matter that Russell didn't have a "turnover driver" or an "overstable midrange" because he wasn't depending on the disc to execute the shot.
My point? I probably don't have one. Basically if you really want to learn to play, get an Aviar (or two or 10) and learn to make it do everything. Take it out to a field and throw it over and over. Learn to throw hyzers and turnovers with it. Learn to throw it lazer straight. Throw it till you love it (or hate it.) If you can figure it out, then you will be in control. Then you can just take a disc like and Eagle and use it for everything. Or you can be like me and depend on the disc to do the work. Here is a hint...put some extra towels in your car if you are going to play like me.